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Dave’s Oscar Talk: 2013 Nominations

So, guess what? Guess what? The Oscar nominations were announced! I’m so excited, even though there are still a few nominees like Anna Karenina and The Sessions that I haven’t seen yet. Still, I figured I should weigh in with my thoughts, so here goes.

I’m gonna skip all the documentaries, foreign films and shorts. Not my specialty. Comes with living in an area that doesn’t play movies whose budget is less than 100 mill.

As for technical awards, visual effects was the most surprising. I’m not surprised that The Hobbit, The Avengers, Life of Pi or even Prometheus made the list, but I’m shocked SHOCKED that Snow White and the Huntsman got nominated over The Dark Knight Rises, Looper and The Amazing Spider-Man. What the hell, people? Granted, I never saw Snow White, and probably never will, but still…

The sound awards were about what I expected. Skyfall’s probably gonna take both of them. Les Miz looks to clean up in the visual dept. as a possible favourite for make-up, costume design and production design. Editing and Cinematography are as hard to predict this year as ever, but off the cusp I’d predict Life of Pi for cinematography, mostly due to its perfect use of vibrant colours and ability to make the ocean not boring. For editing, I’d say Zero Dark Thirty, because of its edgy, fast style.

As for the musical awards, is it weird that I want Ted’s Everybody Needs a Best Friend to win? Though the most obvious favourite, once again is Les Miserable’s’ Suddenly. Adele stands a decent chance for Skyfall too, since she seems to have an awards target painted on her ass.

The category I was most pleased with this year was animated film, since all three of this year’s Claymation features were in there. I was worried they’d skip ParaNorman and The Pirates: Band of Misfits, though my pick for that category would have to go to the masterpiece that was Wreck-It Ralph. I can’t explain in words how much I love that movie. This might be the first year in a while that Pixar’s inclusion will lose and deservedly so.

Next up is screenplay. As a screenwriter myself I hold this category close to my heart and this is my biggest disappointment. Seven Psychopaths should have been nominated and its lack of recognition is this year’s biggest travesty. Otherwise, the inclusions for writing are what you’d expect. Argo and Silver Linings are gonna duke it out for adapted script and Zero Dark Thirty’s gritty, highly researched realism will battle Tarantino’s over-the-top nonsense (I say that as a compliment) for the original script category.

Directing is where the academy literally shocked the shit out of me this year. I’m still cleaning up the mess. I don’t even know who Michael Haneke is and nominating a first-time director in the form of Benh Zeilin for Beasts is nothing short of incredible. Even more amazing when you realize that some of the favourites for best picture are not nominated in the directing category, most notable Bigelow for Zero Dark Thirty, Ben Affleck for Argo and Tom Hooper for Les Miz. When you eliminate the dark horses you’re left with former winners Spielberg and Lee and finally David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. It’s a hard one for me to predict, but I want Russell to win since I loved Silver Linings Playbook.

Next up is acting, with no real surprise inclusions or exclusions for a change. Everyone I expected to get nominated was nominated, so really nothing to complain about or shit about here. Jessica Chastain has best actress in the bag (though I really want it to go to Emmanuelle Riva), but the rest are harder to predict, especially best actor. Off the cusp I’m gonna guess two-time winner Day-Lewis, but Bradley Cooper could be the biggest upset of the year if he takes it. No one watching The Hangover five years ago came out thinking that guy would win an Oscar. Christoph Waltz was the best thing about Django Unchained, just as he was the best thing about Inglorious Basterds, so I hope he takes it again. As for supporting actor, I’m guessing Hathaway for Les Miz, though I want it to go to Amy Adams. She’s one of those people who keeps getting nominated without winning and since I’m in love with her as an actress, I want her to get the recognition Penelope Cruz robbed her of in 2008.

Finally we get to the big boy, best picture. Never before have I had a harder time figuring out the winner. It seemed pretty clear in years past, but the lack of best director nominations for films like Zero Dark Thirty and Les Miserables practically puts them out of the running and for some reason I’m not feelin’ it with Life of Pi, as much as I loved that movie. That leaves Lincoln, Argo and Silver Linings Playbook. I want it to go to either Life of Pi or Silver Linings, but I feel like we might see Argo win like at the Golden Globes. Only time will tell, I guess.

So, that about wraps it up for this year’s early Oscar talk. I’ll do an updated post later after the show when I can talk about who won and who deserved to win. Catch ya later!

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